South Florida
W-L: (30-22) PR = 94.5800Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 9- 4 214 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 2- 4 215 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 11-10 217 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 9- 7 218 A Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 3-14 220 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 9- 3 221 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 29- 4 222 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 4- 3 224 A Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 3- 4 228 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 2- 1 228 A UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 9- 2 301 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 1- 6 303 A Winthrop BSO ( 6-11, 92.1) 12- 5 306 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 6- 2 307 H Southern SWAC ( 2- 7, 86.1) 15- 1 307 H Southern SWAC ( 2- 7, 86.1) 9- 2 309 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 11- 6 313 H Columbia IVY ( 4-11, 91.4) 6- 3 314 H Columbia IVY ( 4-11, 91.4) 2- 0 314 H Columbia IVY ( 4-11, 91.4) 10- 6 317 A Alabama A&M SWAC ( 1- 6, 89.5) 13- 8 320 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 4- 5 321 A UNC Asheville BSO ( 2- 6, 88.6) 2- 4 322 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 7- 2 324 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 7- 3 327 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 2-11 328 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 9- 5 329 A Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 3-10 331 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 5- 6 402 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 10- 1 403 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 4- 7 404 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 5- 0 410 H Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 3- 5 411 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 7- 1 411 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 3- 7 415 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 4- 2 417 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 4- 8 418 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 6-12 419 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 1- 0 421 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 6- 5 424 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 1-11 425 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 4-12 429 H Rider MAAC ( 9- 9, 94.3) 1-11 501 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 9-12 502 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 5- 6 503 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 11- 6 508 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 16- 6 509 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 8- 9 510 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 5- 9 514 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 4- 0 515 A TCU B12 (32-21, 95.9) 7- 4 516 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 5- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Illinois 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.89
214 H Illinois 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.11
215 H Illinois 11-10 1 0 0.89
217 A UCF 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.09
218 A Utah Tech 3-14 -11 1 --- -11.65
220 A Kennesaw State 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 6.77
221 H Georgia Southern 29- 4 25 3 +++ 10.65
222 H Georgia Southern 4- 3 1 3 - -2.35
224 A Bethune-Cookman 3- 4 -1 2 - -3.23
228 A UCF 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.09
228 A UCF 9- 2 7 -2 +++ 9.09
301 H Old Dominion 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.95
303 A Winthrop 12- 5 7 2 ++ 5.15
306 A William & Mary 6- 2 4 2 1.62
307 H Southern 15- 1 14 9 ++ 4.88
307 H Southern 9- 2 7 9 - -2.12
309 A Jacksonville 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.74
313 H Columbia 6- 3 3 4 -0.84
314 H Columbia 2- 0 2 4 -1.84
314 H Columbia 10- 6 4 4 0.16
317 A Alabama A&M 13- 8 5 4 0.61
320 H Rice 4- 5 -1 1 -1.92
321 A UNC Asheville 2- 4 -2 5 --- -7.30
322 H Rice 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.08
324 A Florida Gulf Coast 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.16
327 A Charlotte 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.79
328 A Charlotte 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.21
329 A Charlotte 3-10 -7 0 --- -6.79
331 H Bethune-Cookman 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.59
402 H Memphis 10- 1 9 1 +++ 8.11
403 H Memphis 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.89
404 H Memphis 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.11
410 H Butler 3- 5 -2 3 -- -5.39
411 A UTSA 7- 1 6 -3 +++ 9.25
411 A UTSA 3- 7 -4 -3 -0.75
415 A Miami of Florida 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.74
417 H UAB 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.38
418 H UAB 6-12 -6 0 --- -6.38
421 A Stetson 6- 5 1 1 -0.14
424 A East Carolina 1-11 -10 -3 --- -7.17
425 A East Carolina 4-12 -8 -3 -- -5.17
429 H Rider 1-11 -10 1 --- -10.91
501 H Florida Atlantic 9-12 -3 2 -- -4.50
502 H Florida Atlantic 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.50
503 H Florida Atlantic 11- 6 5 2 + 3.50
508 A Tulane 16- 6 10 -1 +++ 10.50
509 A Tulane 8- 9 -1 -1 -0.50
510 A Tulane 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.50
514 A TCU 4- 0 4 -2 +++ 6.02
515 A TCU 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 5.02
516 H Wichita State 5- 8 -3 1 - -3.68
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Utah Tech 3-14 -11 1 --- -11.65 301 H Old Dominion 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.95 321 A UNC Asheville 2- 4 -2 5 --- -7.30 327 A Charlotte 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.79 329 A Charlotte 3-10 -7 0 --- -6.79 418 H UAB 6-12 -6 0 --- -6.38 424 A East Carolina 1-11 -10 -3 --- -7.17 429 H Rider 1-11 -10 1 --- -10.91 331 H Bethune-Cookman 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.59 410 H Butler 3- 5 -2 3 -- -5.39 417 H UAB 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.38 425 A East Carolina 4-12 -8 -3 -- -5.17 501 H Florida Atlantic 9-12 -3 2 -- -4.50 214 H Illinois 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.11 222 H Georgia Southern 4- 3 1 3 - -2.35 224 A Bethune-Cookman 3- 4 -1 2 - -3.23 307 H Southern 9- 2 7 9 - -2.12 403 H Memphis 4- 7 -3 1 - -3.89 502 H Florida Atlantic 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.50 510 A Tulane 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.50 516 H Wichita State 5- 8 -3 1 - -3.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Kennesaw State 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 6.77 221 H Georgia Southern 29- 4 25 3 +++ 10.65 228 A UCF 9- 2 7 -2 +++ 9.09 402 H Memphis 10- 1 9 1 +++ 8.11 411 A UTSA 7- 1 6 -3 +++ 9.25 508 A Tulane 16- 6 10 -1 +++ 10.50 514 A TCU 4- 0 4 -2 +++ 6.02 213 H Illinois 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.89 217 A UCF 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.09 303 A Winthrop 12- 5 7 2 ++ 5.15 307 H Southern 15- 1 14 9 ++ 4.88 309 A Jacksonville 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.74 322 H Rice 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.08 324 A Florida Gulf Coast 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.16 328 A Charlotte 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.21 404 H Memphis 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.11 515 A TCU 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 5.02 228 A UCF 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.09 415 A Miami of Florida 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.74 503 H Florida Atlantic 11- 6 5 2 + 3.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 9- 4 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.56 14.46
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 2- 4 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.56 -1.51
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 11-10 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.56 14.46
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 9- 7 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.56 16.90
3 A Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 3-14 -6.65 11.78 0.68 0.56 -1.66
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 9- 3 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.56 15.44
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 29- 4 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.56 10.86
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 4- 3 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.56 10.86
3 A Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 3- 4 -8.23 10.20 0.68 0.56 -2.10
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 2- 1 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.56 16.90
3 A UCF (29-26, 96.0) 9- 2 -3.91 14.52 0.68 0.56 16.90
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 1- 6 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.56 -2.02
3 A Winthrop ( 6-11, 92.1) 12- 5 -7.84 10.58 0.68 0.56 12.53
3 A William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 6- 2 -8.38 10.05 0.68 0.56 11.93
3 H Southern ( 2- 7, 86.1) 15- 1 -13.77 4.66 -0.68 0.56 4.43
3 H Southern ( 2- 7, 86.1) 9- 2 -13.77 4.66 -0.68 0.56 4.43
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 11- 6 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.56 14.28
3 H Columbia ( 4-11, 91.4) 6- 3 -8.49 9.94 -0.68 0.56 10.31
3 H Columbia ( 4-11, 91.4) 2- 0 -8.49 9.94 -0.68 0.56 10.31
3 H Columbia ( 4-11, 91.4) 10- 6 -8.49 9.94 -0.68 0.56 10.31
3 A Alabama A&M ( 1- 6, 89.5) 13- 8 -10.39 8.04 0.68 0.56 9.69
3 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 4- 5 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.56 -1.74
3 A UNC Asheville ( 2- 6, 88.6) 2- 4 -11.30 7.13 0.68 0.56 -2.95
3 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 7- 2 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 0.56 13.55
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 7- 3 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.56 14.76
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 2-11 -5.79 12.64 0.68 0.56 -1.42
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 9- 5 -5.79 12.64 0.68 0.56 14.81
3 A Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 3-10 -5.79 12.64 0.68 0.56 -1.42
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 5- 6 -8.23 10.20 -0.68 0.56 -2.48
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 10- 1 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 0.56 13.59
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 4- 7 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 0.56 -1.73
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 5- 0 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 0.56 13.59
3 H Butler (23-30, 91.9) 3- 5 -8.03 10.39 -0.68 0.56 -2.42
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 7- 1 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.56 18.19
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 3- 7 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.56 -0.58
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 4- 2 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.56 16.52
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 4- 8 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.56 -1.59
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 6-12 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.56 -1.59
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 1- 0 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.56 14.16
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 6- 5 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.56 13.31
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 1-11 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.56 -0.69
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 4-12 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.56 -0.69
3 H Rider ( 9- 9, 94.3) 1-11 -5.56 12.87 -0.68 0.56 -1.73
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 9-12 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.56 -1.90
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 5- 6 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.56 -1.90
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 11- 6 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.56 12.91
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 16- 6 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.56 15.14
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 8- 9 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.56 -1.34
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 5- 9 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.56 -1.34
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 4- 0 -3.97 14.45 0.68 0.56 16.83
3 A TCU (32-21, 95.9) 7- 4 -3.97 14.45 0.68 0.56 16.83
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 5- 8 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.56 -1.67
------
362.71
|
winning pts = 399.1668 losing points = -36.4525
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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